Difficult sheep to shear

Alan Reynolds of the Cato Institute had the following article published in the Wall Street Journal on 3/30/10:


http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=11631

This article lists all of the health care tax increases that will affect individuals in the highest tax brackets. Alan has it exactly correct when he makes the following statements:

Add it up and the government is counting on squeezing an extra $1.2 trillion over 10 years from a tiny sliver of taxpayers who already pay more than half of all individual taxes.

It won't work. It never works.

Punitive tax rates on high-income individuals do not increase revenue. Successful people are not docile sheep just waiting to be shorn.

In short, the belief that higher tax rates on the rich could eventually raise significant sums over the next decade is a dangerous delusion, because it means the already horrific estimates of long-term deficits are seriously understated. The cost of new health-insurance subsidies and Medicaid enrollees are projected to grow by at least 7% a year, which means the cost doubles every decade — to $432 billion a year by 2029, $864 billion by 2039, and more than $1.72 trillion by 2049. If anyone thinks taxing the rich will cover any significant portion of such expenses, think again.

The federal government has embarked on an unprecedented spending spree, granting new entitlements in the guise of refundable tax credits while drawing false comfort from phantom revenue projections that will never materialize.

The basic economic principle of lower tax revenue generated by higher tax rates was explained by Economist Arthur Laffer. For a brief explanation of the “Laffer Curve” see the following:

http://www.conservapedia.com/Laffer_curve